Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Could Jose Reyes Earn $100 million in Free Agency?

Despite signing Jose Reyes to a contract extension earlier in the offseason, the Mets act as if it is still uncertain whether Jose will be a part of their long-term plans.  I am perplexed that the Mets are willing to take this approach with the best homegrown position player in franchsie history since Darryl Strawberry.  Yes, that's right, Jose Reyes is a better player and more valuable than David Wright. I understand that power, which David Wright supplies, is generally a a more valuable commodity, but it is much easier to find a power hitting third baseman than a dynamic shortstop like Jose Reyes. The fact remains that Jose Reyes is one of the top four shortstops in the game along with Hanley Ramirez, Troy Tulowitzki, and and Elvis Andrus.  Jose is in elite company among major league shortstops.  He plays stellar defense, hits for a high average, steals bags, and is the catalyst for the Mets offense.  Most importantly, he was an iron man from 2005 to 2008 after not being able to run in 2003 and 2004 with a myriad of strange back and leg issues. 

Given Jose's productivity at one of the most high profile positions in baseball, it's amusing that the Mets are not sure whether Jose fits into their long-term plans.  Reyes might be able to earn $100 million in free agency similar to Carl Crawford, who put up comparable numbers while playng leftfield, which is regarded as a less important position.

When Jose Reyes has played a minimum of 150 games, he has swiped no less than 56 bases, including a peak of 78 stolen bases in 2007.  He has led the National League three times in stolen bases (2005-2007) and triples (2005-2006, 2008) while maintaining a .286 career average.

YearTeamGRH2B3BHRRBISBAVGOBP
 2003NYM69478412453213.307.334
 2004NYM53335616221419.255.271
 2005NYM16199190241775860.273.300
 2006NYM1531221943017198164.300.354
 2007NYM1601191913612125778.280.354
 2008NYM1591132043719166856.297.358
 2009NYM3618417221511.279.355
 2010NYM133831592910115430.282.321
 Career9246341,1191918374379331.286.335


Meanwhile, Carl Crawford has led the American League four times in stolen bases (2003-2004, 2006-2007) and triples (2004-2006, 2010) while maintaining a .296 career average.
 
YearTeamGRH2B3BHRRBISBAVGOBP
 2002TB6323671162309.259.290
 2003TB1518017718955455.281.309
 2004TB1521041852619115559.296.331
 2005TB1561011943315158146.301.331
 2006TB151891832016187758.305.348
 2007TB14393184379118050.315.355
 2008TB10969121121085725.273.319
 2009TB15696185288156860.305.364
 2010TB1541101843013199047.307.356
 Career1,2357651480215105104592409.296.337

Despite the fact that Crawford hits for a career average that is 10 points higher than Reyes, he has never swiped more than 60 bases in a season, which Reyes has already accomplished twice in his young career.  And you get the impression that Jose, at 27 years old and two years younger than Crawford, has not reached his full potential.  Although, he might come off as aloof because of his bubbly personality, Jose has always played the game hard and if he ever manages to become more of a student of the game, there is no reason he cannot rob 80 or 90 bases next season.

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